Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday


	Aidan McHugh		Keegan Smith

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	2	1.78
	1.9	1.83	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.84)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aidan McHugh
49.1%

Keegan Smith
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aidan McHugh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aidan McHugh than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Aidan McHugh - Keegan Smith Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Smith (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Smith (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McHugh is ranked ATP: 530. Smith is ranked ATP: 554.

In recent matches, McHugh has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Smith is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, McHugh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Aidan McHugh - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan McHugh
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Aidan McHugh - Kyle Seelig	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Aidan McHugh - Eero Vasa	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Aidan McHugh - Benjamin Hannestad	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Aidan McHugh - Melvin Kumar	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Aidan McHugh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWWL
- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Joan Torres Espinosa - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Keegan Smith - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.09.25	Keegan Smith - Oliver Okonkwo	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Keegan Smith - Bjorn Svensson	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Keegan Smith - Nathan Ponwith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.05.23	Keegan Smith - Aidan McHugh	0:2

Aidan McHugh - Keegan Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide