Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MORELOS (MEXICO) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 17 April 2023, Monday


	Aidan McHugh		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95
	1.69	2.14
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2.06	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.9)	2.03 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aidan McHugh
54.2%

Naoki Nakagawa
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aidan McHugh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aidan McHugh's performance.

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naoki Nakagawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aidan McHugh than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Aidan McHugh - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. McHugh will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nakagawa will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Nakagawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan McHugh
ATP Challenger
16.04.23	Aidan McHugh - Jaimee Floyd Angele	2:0 ✺
10.04.23	Benjamin Lock - Aidan McHugh	2:1 ✺
09.04.23	Robert Strombachs - Aidan McHugh	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.23	Akira Santillan - Aidan McHugh	2:1 ✺
17.03.23	Fabio Coelho - Aidan McHugh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW
- Naoki Nakagawa
ATP Challenger
16.04.23	Luciano Doria - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
09.04.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.03.23	Luke Saville - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Sekou Bangoura - Naoki Nakagawa	1:2 ✺
17.03.23	Alex Michelsen - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL

Aidan McHugh - Naoki Nakagawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide