Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sydney (Australia), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 October 2024, Thursday


	Ajeet Rai		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	4	1.2
	3.9	1.21	Watch
	4.32	1.24
	4.08	1.24	Watch
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.9	1.23	Watch
	3.9	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (2.88)	1.22 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajeet Rai
23.3%

Yuta Shimizu
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajeet Rai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajeet Rai's form might have worsened.

Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yuta Shimizu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajeet Rai than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajeet Rai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuta Shimizu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ajeet Rai - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rai is ranked ATP: 617. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 224.

Recent matches Rai is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shimizu is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rai could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Shimizu is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajeet Rai
ATP Challenger
30.10.24	Ajeet Rai - Yuki Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
29.10.24	Alex Bolt - Ajeet Rai	0:2 ✺
21.10.24	Ryuki Matsuda - Ajeet Rai	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.10.24	Omar Jasika - Ajeet Rai	Rai A. retired ✺
09.10.24	Sam Ryan Ziegann - Ajeet Rai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWL?W
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
30.10.24	Blake Mott - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
29.10.24	Jacob Bradshaw - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Rinky Hijikata - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
25.10.24	Marc Polmans - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
24.10.24	Li Tu - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWW

Ajeet Rai - Yuta Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide