Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sydney (Australia), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday


	Blake Mott		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.5	1.26
	3.7	1.24	Watch
	3.64	1.3
	3.44	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.7	1.25	Watch
	3.7	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.11)	1.26 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blake Mott
25.7%

Yuta Shimizu
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blake Mott has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Mott than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blake Mott, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuta Shimizu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Blake Mott - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mott is ranked ATP: 483. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 224.

Recent matches Mott is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shimizu is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shimizu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shimizu is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mott won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Mott
ATP Challenger
29.10.24	Seita Watanabe - Blake Mott	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Blake Mott - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.10.24	Blake Mott - Matt Hulme	Hulme M. walkover ✺
01.10.24	Blake Mott - Hugh Winter	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.24	Yan Bai - Blake Mott	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WL?WL
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
29.10.24	Jacob Bradshaw - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Rinky Hijikata - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
25.10.24	Marc Polmans - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
24.10.24	Li Tu - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Yuta Shimizu - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.10.24	Blake Mott - Yuta Shimizu	0:2

Blake Mott - Yuta Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide