Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Caty McNally		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.06	1.88
	1.93	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.85
	1.98	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.87)	1.83 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caty McNally
47.9%

Darya Kasatkina
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caty McNally has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caty McNally than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Caty McNally - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. McNally will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McNally is ranked WTA: 63. Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 66.

In recent matches, McNally has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kasatkina is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kasatkina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, McNally won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Caty McNally - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caty McNally
WTA Madrid
27.04.26	Marta Kostyuk - Caty McNally	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Katerina Siniakova - Caty McNally	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Caty McNally - Victoria Mboko	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Caty McNally - Katie Volynets	2:0 ✺
WTA Rouen
15.04.26	Marta Kostyuk - Caty McNally	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWL
- Darya Kasatkina
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Darya Kasatkina - Tamara Korpatsch	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Darya Kasatkina - Sara Sorribes Tormo	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Alina Charaeva - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Laura Pigossi - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Emiliana Arango - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cleveland
24.08.21	Darya Kasatkina - Caty McNally	2:1

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