Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 27, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Alaa Trifi		Daniel Bagnolini

	1	2
	1.36	2.80
	1.45	2.55
	1.44	2.84
	1.43	2.56	Watch
	1.42	2.80
	1.41	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)	2.71 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alaa Trifi
65.6%

Daniel Bagnolini
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alaa Trifi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Daniel Bagnolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alaa Trifi than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Bagnolini than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Alaa Trifi - Daniel Bagnolini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Trifi is ranked ATP: 869. Bagnolini is ranked ATP: 1395.

Recent performances by Trifi have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bagnolini is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bagnolini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Trifi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Trifi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alaa Trifi
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Alaa Trifi - Jonas Eriksson Ziverts	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Alaa Trifi - Toufik Sahtali	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Alaa Trifi - Charles Bertimon	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Alaa Trifi - Alexander Frusina	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Alaa Trifi - Jackson Ross	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW
- Daniel Bagnolini
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Daniel Bagnolini - Timofey Stepanov	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	Daniel Bagnolini - Jacopo Bilardo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.05.26	Petr Nesterov - Daniel Bagnolini	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Daniel Bagnolini	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Daniel Bagnolini - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.04.24	Daniel Bagnolini - Alaa Trifi	2:0
03.04.24	Alaa Trifi - Daniel Bagnolini	0:2

Alaa Trifi - Daniel Bagnolini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide