Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cervia - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cervia 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Daniel Bagnolini		Sebastian Sorger

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Daniel Bagnolini
13.7%

Sebastian Sorger
86.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.7%

81.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Bagnolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Sebastian Sorger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Bagnolini is ranked ATP: 1342. Sorger is ranked ATP: 439.

Sorger's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bagnolini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sorger is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bagnolini won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Bagnolini
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Daniel Bagnolini - Kasra Rahmani	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Andrey Chepelev - Daniel Bagnolini	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Daniel Bagnolini - Iannis Miletich	Bagnolini D. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
01.02.26	Giovanni Oradini - Daniel Bagnolini	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.08.25	Filippo Mazzola - Daniel Bagnolini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LW?LL
- Sebastian Sorger
ATP Challenger
10.05.26	George Loffhagen - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sebastian Sorger - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.03.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Loann Massard - Sebastian Sorger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW

ITF Tournaments
19.05.22	Sebastian Sorger - Daniel Bagnolini	2:1

Daniel Bagnolini - Sebastian Sorger