Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Winnipeg 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Alafia Ayeni		Duncan Chan

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.2	1.6
	2.32	1.6
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.25	1.59
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.16)	1.57 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alafia Ayeni
41%

Duncan Chan
59%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alafia Ayeni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Duncan Chan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alafia Ayeni than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alafia Ayeni, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duncan Chan than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duncan Chan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alafia Ayeni - Duncan Chan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Ayeni is ranked ATP: 454. Chan is ranked ATP: 664.

Ayeni has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ayeni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alafia Ayeni
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Alafia Ayeni - Matthew Forbes	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Facundo Mena - Alafia Ayeni	2:1 ✺
01.06.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Alafia Ayeni	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Jakub Nicod - Alafia Ayeni	Nicod J. Retired ✺
25.05.26	Alafia Ayeni - Ivan Ivanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLL?L
- Duncan Chan
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Daniel Milavsky - Duncan Chan	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Duncan Chan - Timo Legout	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Duncan Chan - Nicola Ion	Ion N. Retired ✺
18.06.26	Duncan Chan - Braden Shick	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Ryan Colby - Duncan Chan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LL?LW

Alafia Ayeni - Duncan Chan

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Alafia Ayeni - Duncan Chan Predictions

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Form

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