Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 SANTA CRUZ (BOLIVIA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros		Valerio Aboian

	1	2
	2.8	1.36
	2.82	1.41
	2.82	1.42
	2.69	1.41	Watch
	2.8	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.16)	1.4 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
33.4%

Valerio Aboian
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros's form might have worsened.

Valerio Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valerio Aboian's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valerio Aboian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Rubio Fierros is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aboian is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rubio Fierros could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aboian is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Aboian to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
ITF Tournaments
23.11.23	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Juan Estevez	2:0 ✺
22.11.23	Tomas Farjat - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	1:2 ✺
15.11.23	Joao Victor Couto Loureiro - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	2:1 ✺
08.11.23	Franco Roncadelli - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Franco Emanuel Egea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLL
- Valerio Aboian
ITF Tournaments
23.11.23	Leanid Boika - Valerio Aboian	Boika L. retired ✺
22.11.23	Agustin Eduardo Cuellar Lorberg - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Tomas Farjat - Valerio Aboian	1:2 ✺
18.11.23	Leonardo Aboian - Valerio Aboian	1:2 ✺
17.11.23	Fermin Tenti - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?WWWW

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Valerio Aboian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide