Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tbilisi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tbilisi 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Alastair Gray		Lukas Pokorny

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Alastair Gray
49.8%

Lukas Pokorny
50.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alastair Gray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Lukas Pokorny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Pokorny than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Gray is ranked ATP: 379. Pokorny is ranked ATP: 412.

Recent performances by Gray have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pokorny is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gray may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alastair Gray
ITF Tournaments
10.05.25	Charles Broom - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Ewen Lumsden - Alastair Gray	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Blake Mott - Alastair Gray	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Ben Jones - Alastair Gray	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Bernard Tomic - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL
- Lukas Pokorny
ATP Challenger
19.05.25	Lukas Pokorny - Tibo Colson	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Lukas Pokorny - Naoya Honda	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.05.25	Robert Strombachs - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.04.25	Lukas Pokorny - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Nick Hardt - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alastair Gray
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Alastair Gray - Theo Papamalamis	✺

Alastair Gray - Lukas Pokorny