Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Nottingham, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	Bernard Tomic		Alastair Gray

	1	2
			Watch
	1.74	2.04
	1.79	1.96	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.77	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)	1.94 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
51.8%

Alastair Gray
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Alastair Gray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Bernard Tomic - Alastair Gray Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 232. Gray is ranked ATP: 410.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Tomic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ITF Tournaments
01.05.25	Bernard Tomic - Shinji Hazawa	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Oliver Bonding	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Michael Mmoh	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Adrian Mannarino - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWL
- Alastair Gray
ITF Tournaments
01.05.25	Loic Namigandet Tenguere - Alastair Gray	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Ben Jones - Alastair Gray	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Michael Bassem Sobhy - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Alastair Gray - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Alastair Gray - Jacob Brumm	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLW

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