Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Nottingham, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nottingham 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Bernard Tomic		Alastair Gray

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Bernard Tomic
51.8%

Alastair Gray
48.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Alastair Gray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Tomic is ranked ATP: 232. Gray is ranked ATP: 410.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Tomic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Bernard Tomic - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ITF Tournaments
01.05.25	Bernard Tomic - Shinji Hazawa	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Oliver Bonding	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Michael Mmoh	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Adrian Mannarino - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWL
- Alastair Gray
ITF Tournaments
01.05.25	Loic Namigandet Tenguere - Alastair Gray	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Ben Jones - Alastair Gray	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Michael Bassem Sobhy - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Alastair Gray - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Alastair Gray - Jacob Brumm	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alastair Gray
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Alastair Gray - Theo Papamalamis	✺

Bernard Tomic - Alastair Gray