Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Dublin, hard - Final

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday


	Alastair Gray		Michael Agwi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.9
	1.85	1.91
	1.87	1.85	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.69	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.69)	1.93 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alastair Gray
51.9%

Michael Agwi
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alastair Gray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Michael Agwi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alastair Gray, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Agwi than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michael Agwi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alastair Gray - Michael Agwi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gray is ranked ATP: 358. Agwi is ranked ATP: 637.

Gray has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Agwi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Gray will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alastair Gray - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.29%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alastair Gray
ITF Tournaments
02.08.25	Alastair Gray - James Story	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Alastair Gray - Oscar Weightman	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Alastair Gray - Conor Gannon	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Alastair Gray - Connor Thomson	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Alastair Gray - Lui Maxted	Gray A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWW?
- Michael Agwi
ITF Tournaments
02.08.25	Michael Agwi - Hamish Stewart	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Pavlo Tsitsipas - Michael Agwi	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Matt Ponchet - Michael Agwi	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Benjamin Gusic Wan - Michael Agwi	0:2 ✺
04.07.25	Florian Broska - Michael Agwi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWL

Alastair Gray - Michael Agwi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide