Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Fort Worth, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Fort Worth 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Alastair Gray		Lui Maxted

	1	2
	1.65	2.10
	1.67	2.08
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.09
	1.66	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.72)	2.08 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alastair Gray
55.6%

Lui Maxted
44.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alastair Gray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Lui Maxted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alastair Gray that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lui Maxted could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alastair Gray - Lui Maxted Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gray is ranked ATP: 292., and Maxted is ranked ATP: 394..

Gray is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Maxted has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Gray may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Gray has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0 (averaging 1:0 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alastair Gray
ITF Tournaments
18.10.26	Alastair Gray - Cosme Rolland de Ravel	1:2 ✺
17.10.26	Alastair Gray - Dominick Mosejczuk	2:0 ✺
16.10.26	Alastair Gray - Sebastian Gorzny	2:1 ✺
15.10.26	Alastair Gray - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Alastair Gray - Spencer Johnson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWWW
- Lui Maxted
ITF Tournaments
17.10.26	Lui Maxted - Cosme Rolland de Ravel	1:2 ✺
16.10.26	Lui Maxted - Andrew Fenty	2:1 ✺
15.10.26	Lui Maxted - Roger Pascual Ferra	2:0 ✺
14.10.26	Lui Maxted - Aidan Kim	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Luca Potenza - Lui Maxted	Maxted L. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Alastair Gray - Lui Maxted	Gray A. walkover
ITF Tournaments
03.08.22	Alastair Gray - Lui Maxted	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alastair Gray
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Alastair Gray - Luca Pow	✺
- Lui Maxted
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Lui Maxted - Bruno Kuzuhara	✺

Alastair Gray - Lui Maxted