Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday


	Alastair Gray		Patrick Maloney

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.40	2.75
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.41	3.04
	1.39	2.77	Watch
	1.38	3.05
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 (1.39)	2.83 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alastair Gray
67%

Patrick Maloney
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alastair Gray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Patrick Maloney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrick Maloney than the current prediction. (-5%)

Alastair Gray - Patrick Maloney Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gray is ranked ATP: 287. Maloney is ranked ATP: 921.

Gray is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maloney's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gray is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gray won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alastair Gray
ATP Challenger
31.08.26	Alastair Gray - Maximus Jones	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	George Loffhagen - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Alastair Gray	2:1 ✺
17.08.26	Emile Hudd - Alastair Gray	1:2 ✺
21.07.26	Alastair Gray - Akira Santillan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Patrick Maloney
ITF Tournaments
11.08.26	Patrick Maloney - Bryce Nakashima	Maloney P. Retired ✺
07.08.26	Evan Zhu - Patrick Maloney	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Patrick Maloney - Johannus Monday	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Patrick Maloney - Tygen Goldammer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Evan Zhu - Patrick Maloney	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 ?LWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.01.24	Alastair Gray - Patrick Maloney	2:0

Alastair Gray - Patrick Maloney: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide