Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Stellabotte N. (Ita)


	Albert Ramos-Vinolas		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.28	3.35	Watch
	1.32	3.47
	1.32	3.47
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.27	3.58	Watch
	1.32	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.49)	3.35 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albert Ramos-Vinolas
72%

Gonzalo Bueno
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albert Ramos-Vinolas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Albert Ramos-Vinolas's performance.

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gonzalo Bueno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albert Ramos-Vinolas than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albert Ramos-Vinolas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Bueno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Albert Ramos Vinolas - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: Albert Ramos-Vinolas will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ramos-Vinolas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bueno is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bueno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ramos-Vinolas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albert Ramos-Vinolas
ATP Challenger
17.06.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
13.06.24	Henrique Rocha - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:1 ✺
11.06.24	Alex Molcan - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	1:2 ✺
03.06.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Andrea Vavassori	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
11.06.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
06.06.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Trey Hilderbrand	1:2 ✺
04.06.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Dali Blanch	2:0 ✺
09.05.24	Daniel Vallejo - Gonzalo Bueno	Vallejo D. walkover ✺
08.05.24	Nicolas Alvarez - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLW?W

Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Gonzalo Bueno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide