Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villa Maria (Argentina), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 October 2024, Tuesday


	Daniel Vallejo		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.19	Watch
	1.62	2.33
	1.51	2.45	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.6	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.8)	2.25 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
58.5%

Gonzalo Bueno
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Vallejo's performance.

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gonzalo Bueno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Vallejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Bueno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Daniel Vallejo - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Bueno will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vallejo: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 251. Bueno is ranked ATP: 238.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bueno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vallejo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
01.10.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Jesper De Jong - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Daniel Vallejo - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LLWWW
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
01.10.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
21.09.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
19.09.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.05.24	Daniel Vallejo - Gonzalo Bueno	Vallejo D. walkover

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