Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LISBON (PORTUGAL), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV5


	Albert Ramos-Vinolas		Joao Sousa

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.73
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.46	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.34)	2.65 ↓ (3.16)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albert Ramos-Vinolas
64.5%

Joao Sousa
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albert Ramos-Vinolas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Albert Ramos-Vinolas's form might have worsened.

Joao Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joao Sousa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albert Ramos-Vinolas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albert Ramos-Vinolas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joao Sousa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Albert Ramos Vinolas - Joao Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ramos-Vinolas will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Sousa will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ramos-Vinolas: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ramos-Vinolas won 4.

Ramos-Vinolas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sousa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ramos-Vinolas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ramos-Vinolas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ramos-Vinolas won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albert Ramos-Vinolas
ATP Challenger
05.10.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Henri Laaksonen	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
22.09.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Filip Misolic	2:1 ✺
21.09.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Petr Nouza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW
- Joao Sousa
ATP Challenger
05.10.23	Joao Sousa - Pedro Sousa	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Joao Sousa - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Joao Sousa - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
16.09.23	Jurij Rodionov - Joao Sousa	Canceled ✺
15.09.23	Sebastian Ofner - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
10.02.23	Joao Sousa - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	1:2
ATP Geneva
22.05.19	Joao Sousa - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2
ATP Shanghai
09.10.17	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Joao Sousa	2:1
ATP Sao Paulo
04.03.17	Joao Sousa - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	1:2
ATP Auckland
09.01.17	Joao Sousa - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0
ATP Miami
25.03.15	Joao Sousa - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2
ATP Estoril
04.05.12	Joao Sousa - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	N/A

Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Joao Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide