Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DAVIS CUP - WORLD GROUP I (WORLD)

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday


	Sebastian Ofner		Joao Sousa

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.5	2.74
	1.44	2.62
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)	2.62 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
64.1%

Joao Sousa
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Joao Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Sebastian Ofner - Joao Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Ofner will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ofner is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sousa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sousa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ofner will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ofner won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Sebastian Ofner - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
28.08.23	Sebastian Ofner - Nuno Borges	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.23	Alex Michelsen - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
02.08.23	Sebastian Ofner - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
26.07.23	Sebastian Ofner - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Joao Sousa
ATP Challenger
05.09.23	Alexandre Muller - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
31.08.23	Joao Sousa - Harold Mayot	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Joao Sousa - Kalin Ivanovski	2:0 ✺
25.08.23	Gabriel Debru - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
24.08.23	Luciano Darderi - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Kitzbuhel
04.08.17	Sebastian Ofner - Joao Sousa	0:2

Sebastian Ofner - Joao Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide