Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar (Spain), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 November 2024, Thursday


	Albert Ramos-Vinolas		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.39	2.8	Watch
	1.51	2.58
	1.45	2.65	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.81	Watch
	1.39	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.67)	2.74 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albert Ramos-Vinolas
65.9%

Lukas Neumayer
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albert Ramos-Vinolas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Albert Ramos-Vinolas's performance.

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lukas Neumayer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albert Ramos-Vinolas than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albert Ramos-Vinolas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukas Neumayer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Albert Ramos Vinolas - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ramos-Vinolas will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Neumayer will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ramos-Vinolas is ranked ATP: 151. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 259.

Recent matches Ramos-Vinolas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neumayer is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ramos-Vinolas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ramos-Vinolas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albert Ramos-Vinolas
ATP Challenger
19.11.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
04.10.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
03.10.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
19.11.24	Lukas Neumayer - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.10.24	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
24.10.24	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Petr Nesterov - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Niccolo Dessi - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.09.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Lukas Neumayer	2:0
05.08.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Lukas Neumayer	2:0

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