Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 12 (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday


	Petr Nesterov		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	2.65	1.4
	2.7	1.38
	3.08	1.34
	2.76	1.39	Watch
	3	1.36
	2.85	1.38	Watch
	2.7	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.55)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Petr Nesterov
32.8%

Lukas Neumayer
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Petr Nesterov - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Nesterov is ranked ATP: 408. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 255.

Nesterov is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Neumayer is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Neumayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Neumayer will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nesterov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Nesterov - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.27%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
22.10.24	Eric Vanshelboim - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Petr Nesterov - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
18.10.24	Andrej Martin - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
17.10.24	Petr Nesterov - Kirill Kivattsev	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Lukas Neumayer - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLWWW
- Lukas Neumayer
ITF Tournaments
22.10.24	Niccolo Dessi - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
16.10.24	Lukas Neumayer - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
15.10.24	Lukas Neumayer - Federico Iannaccone	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.10.24	Lukas Neumayer - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
04.10.24	Lukas Neumayer - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.10.24	Lukas Neumayer - Petr Nesterov	1:2

Upcoming Matches