Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roehampton 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday


	Alec Deckers		Luca Potenza

	1	2
	1.60	2.20
	1.58	2.24
	1.61	2.38
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.59	2.35
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.58	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.77)	2.28 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alec Deckers
59%

Luca Potenza
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alec Deckers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alec Deckers's performance.

Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Potenza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alec Deckers than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alec Deckers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Potenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alec Deckers - Luca Potenza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Deckers (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deckers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Deckers is ranked ATP: 585. Potenza is ranked ATP: 482.

Deckers is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Potenza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Potenza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alec Deckers
ATP Challenger
24.08.26	Alexis Gautier - Alec Deckers	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Oscar Weightman - Alec Deckers	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Alec Deckers - Patrick Brady	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Alec Deckers - Ali Habib	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Alec Deckers - Conor Gannon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW
- Luca Potenza
ITF Tournaments
05.08.26	Aryan Shah - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Samuel Heredia - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Luca Potenza - Pietro Orlando Fellin	1:2 ✺
05.07.26	Luca Potenza - Lorenzo Angelini	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Matthew Donald - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWL

Upcoming Matches