Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Referee: Tourte A. (Fra)


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Hamad Medjedovic

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.7	2.15	Watch
	1.69	2.29
	1.74	2.22
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.69	2.21	Watch
	1.65	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.79)	2.22 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
56.8%

Hamad Medjedovic
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Hamad Medjedovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamad Medjedovic than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	4.2%	62.5%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Hamad Medjedovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Medjedovic will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medjedovic: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Davidovich Fokina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Medjedovic is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Medjedovic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
17.04.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Tomas Machac	Davidovich Fokina A. walkover ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.24	Sebastian Korda - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWL?L
- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Roma
09.05.24	Alexei Popyrin - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
07.05.24	Jeffrey John Wolf - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
06.05.24	Hamad Medjedovic - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.24	Hamad Medjedovic - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
29.04.24	Hamad Medjedovic - Laurent Lokoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW

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