Match Info

Date: 15 October 2020, Thursday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.3	1.62
	2.37	1.54
	2.53	1.59
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.61)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
40%

Marin Cilic
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marin Cilic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	0%	26.9%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 57 - 73.1%). Cilic will win (votes: 21 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 63.3% – 82.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Davidovich Fokina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cilic will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Cologne
13.10.20	Emil Ruusuvuori - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
01.10.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev	1:3 ✺
29.09.20	Harold Mayot - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
15.09.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
14.09.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW
- Marin Cilic
ATP Cologne
13.10.20	Marcos Giron - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
13.10.20	Richard Berankis - Marin Cilic	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.09.20	Marin Cilic - Dominic Thiem	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
18.09.20	Casper Ruud - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
16.09.20	Marin Cilic - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 W?LLW

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