Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	Marcos Giron		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.3	1.62
	2.31	1.69
	2.21	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.25	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.37)	1.64 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
42%

Marin Cilic
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Marcos Giron - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Cilic will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Giron (votes: 1 - 50%). Cilic (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giron is ranked ATP: 77. Cilic is ranked ATP: 47.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Giron may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cilic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Giron won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Marcos Giron - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.39%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Marcos Giron - Martin Landaluce	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL
- Marin Cilic
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Marin Cilic	Fonseca J. Walkover ✺
22.04.26	Zizou Bergs - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.26	Marin Cilic - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Marin Cilic - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 ?WLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cologne
13.10.20	Marcos Giron - Marin Cilic	1:2

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