Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.8	Watch
	1.97	1.81	Watch
	1.99	1.91
	1.93	1.85	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.83	Watch
	1.97	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.81)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
48%

Andrey Rublev
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrey Rublev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 26 - 52%). Rublev will win (votes: 24 - 48%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 38.2% – 65.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 10 - 38.5%). Rublev (votes: 16 - 61.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 Sets - Davidovich Fokina (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Games - Rublev (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Rublev (votes: 17 - 60.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 30. Rublev is ranked ATP: 8.

Davidovich Fokina is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rublev is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rublev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Davidovich Fokina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2:11 (average 0.4:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Barcelona
15.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
11.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Jack Draper - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Jesper De Jong - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Andrey Rublev - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Zizou Bergs - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Andrey Rublev - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Beijing
30.09.24	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0
ATP Roma
15.05.23	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0
ATP Dubai
01.03.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev	1:2
ATP Roland Garros
01.10.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev	1:3

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