Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Pontevedra, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Alejandro Garcia		Tomas Curras Abasolo

	1	2
	1.87	1.80
	1.71	2.00
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.78	1.99
	1.72	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.62)	1.91 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Garcia
51.7%

Tomas Curras Abasolo
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Garcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Garcia's form might have worsened.

Tomas Curras Abasolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Curras Abasolo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Garcia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Curras Abasolo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Alejandro Garcia - Tomas Curras Abasolo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Garcia is ranked ATP: 1973., and Curras Abasolo is ranked ATP: 946..

In recent outings, Garcia has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Curras Abasolo has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Garcia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Garcia
ITF Tournaments
08.09.26	Alejandro Garcia - Ivan Lopez Martos	Canceled ✺
04.09.26	Alejandro Garcia - Pedro Rodenas	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Alejandro Garcia	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Alejandro Garcia - Xavi Palomar	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Alejandro Garcia - Alejandro Juan Mano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?LWWL
- Tomas Curras Abasolo
ITF Tournaments
24.09.26	Tomas Curras Abasolo - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Frederic Schlossmann - Tomas Curras Abasolo	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Goncalo Marques - Tomas Curras Abasolo	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Ryan Nijboer - Tomas Curras Abasolo	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Pedro Rodenas - Tomas Curras Abasolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

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