Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn (Germany), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 June 2024, Friday

Referee: Damaske C. (Ger)


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.84	2.04
	1.83	2.02
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.67)	2.05 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
54.2%

Jan Choinski
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	0%	58.8%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Moro Canas will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Choinski will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Choinski: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moro Canas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Choinski is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
05.06.24	Jurij Rodionov - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
04.06.24	Felix Gill - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
22.05.24	Maxime Janvier - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
21.05.24	Marc Polmans - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
05.06.24	Peter Heller - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
04.06.24	Jan Choinski - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.24	Jan Choinski - Denis Kudla	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.24	Elias Ymer - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
15.05.24	Tristan Boyer - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLW

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