Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Zsombor Piros

	1	2
			Watch
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.35	1.66
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.23	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.78)	1.58 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
40.7%

Zsombor Piros
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

74.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Moro Canas's performance.

Zsombor Piros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zsombor Piros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Moro Canas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zsombor Piros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Zsombor Piros Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Moro Canas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Piros will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Piros (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 233. Piros is ranked ATP: 161.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Piros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Piros is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moro Canas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Zsombor Piros - the odds 1.38 are the expected chance of winning is 66.83%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
08.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Henry Bernet - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Dali Blanch	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL
- Zsombor Piros
ATP Challenger
08.04.26	Calvin Hemery - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	George Loffhagen - Zsombor Piros	Canceled ✺
22.03.26	Zsombor Piros - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Zsombor Piros - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Zsombor Piros - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2

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