Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Henry Bernet		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.79	1.48
	2.54	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.53	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.9)	1.45 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henry Bernet
35.6%

Alejandro Moro Canas
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henry Bernet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henry Bernet than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Henry Bernet - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bernet is ranked ATP: 501. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 234.

Bernet has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Moro Canas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bernet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Moro Canas is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henry Bernet
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Henry Bernet - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Adria Soriano Barrera - Henry Bernet	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Henry Bernet	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Marko Topo - Henry Bernet	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Jan Kumstat - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Dali Blanch	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Zdenek Kolar - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL

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