Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Alejandro Tabilo		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.52	2.55	Watch
	1.53	2.51	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.53	2.69	Watch
	1.52	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)	2.56 ↑ (2.42)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
62.7%

Roberto Carballes Baena
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.6%	0%	41.4%

Alejandro Tabilo - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 17 - 58.6%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 40.7% – 76.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 23. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 59.

Recent matches Carballes Baena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tabilo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Roberto Carballes Baena - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 39.35%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
29.12.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
28.10.24	Nuno Borges - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Basel
23.10.24	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Auckland
08.01.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
07.01.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Lucas Pouille	Canceled ✺
ATP Hong Kong
31.12.24	Gabriel Diallo - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWW?L

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