Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	Andrey Rublev		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.60
	1.46	2.70	Watch
	1.50	2.84
	1.49	2.7	Watch
	1.47	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.78	Watch
	1.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)	2.72 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
64.9%

Alejandro Tabilo
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tabilo (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Tabilo (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Tabilo (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tabilo (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rublev is ranked ATP: 16. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 31.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Rublev is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Rublev - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 67.29%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Bastad
17.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Andrey Rublev - Roman Safiullin	2:3 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
24.06.26	Andrey Rublev - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
23.06.26	Andrey Rublev - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLW
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Bastad
17.07.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Tabilo A. Walkover ✺
16.07.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
23.06.26	Fabian Marozsan - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP London
16.06.26	Rinky Hijikata - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 ?WLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
21.03.26	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2
ATP Basel
23.10.24	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0

Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Tabilo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide