Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.98	1.44
	2.57	1.51	Watch
	2.87	1.42	Watch
	2.63	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.63)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
33.8%

Alexander Bublik
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.1%	0%	83.9%

Alejandro Tabilo - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Tabilo (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Tabilo (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Bublik will win (16 of 21 users predict this - 76.19%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Bublik (votes: 16 - 69.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 73. Bublik is ranked ATP: 16.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bublik is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Bublik - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.26%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Challenger
17.10.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Lorenzo Carboni	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Marcos Giron - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Alexander Bublik - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.25	Valentin Royer - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Alexander Bublik - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWW

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