Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Yi Zhou		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.64	2.26	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.61	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.68)	2.19 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yi Zhou
57.3%

Francesco Maestrelli
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Yi Zhou - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zhou will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Maestrelli will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhou (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Maestrelli (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhou is ranked ATP: 250. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 139.

Maestrelli is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zhou might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Yi Zhou - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.08%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.92%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
31.10.25	Yi Zhou - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Yi Zhou - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Taro Daniel - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
28.10.25	Sanhui Shin - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL
- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Marko Topo - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWWW

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