Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Rognac, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 July 2026, Monday


	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez		Mathieu Scaglia

	1	2
	1.70	2.00
	1.71	2.00
	1.81	2.02
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.68	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.36)	2.02 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
54%

Mathieu Scaglia
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez's form might have worsened.

Mathieu Scaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mathieu Scaglia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathieu Scaglia than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mathieu Scaglia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Mathieu Scaglia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Turriziani Alvarez is ranked ATP: 802. Scaglia is ranked ATP: 1062.

Turriziani Alvarez is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Scaglia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Scaglia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Turriziani Alvarez could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Johan Nikles - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Leonid Sheyngezikht - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	Sheyngezikht L. Retired ✺
24.06.26	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Dillon Beckles	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Maxi Carrascosa Diaz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LL?LL
- Mathieu Scaglia
ITF Tournaments
14.07.26	Arthur Bellegy - Mathieu Scaglia	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Laurent Lokoli - Mathieu Scaglia	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Mathieu Scaglia - Benjamin Pietri	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Lucas Poullain - Mathieu Scaglia	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Mathieu Scaglia - Benjamin Pietri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLLWL

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Mathieu Scaglia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide