Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Los Cabos, hard - Final

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.3	1.34	Watch
	3.4	1.31	Watch
	3.31	1.38
	3.38	1.32	Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.31	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.99)	1.33 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
28.4%

Denis Shapovalov
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Shapovalov (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Shapovalov (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 76. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 33.

Kovacevic is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shapovalov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shapovalov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shapovalov is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Los Cabos
19.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
14.07.25	Hady Habib - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Marton Fucsovics	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWL
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Los Cabos
18.07.25	Denis Shapovalov - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Govind Nanda - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Mariano Navone - Denis Shapovalov	3:1 ✺
ATP Halle
19.06.25	Denis Shapovalov - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWLL

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Denis Shapovalov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide