Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Los Cabos, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+


	Tristan Schoolkate		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.39	Watch
	3.1	1.42
	3.46	1.32	Watch
	2.98	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.73)	1.39 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
31%

Denis Shapovalov
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan Schoolkate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denis Shapovalov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Tristan Schoolkate - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 110. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 33.

Schoolkate is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shapovalov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shapovalov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Los Cabos
16.07.25	Daniel Altmaier - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Yibing Wu - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - James McCabe	McCabe J. retired ✺
08.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWL?W
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Los Cabos
16.07.25	Govind Nanda - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Mariano Navone - Denis Shapovalov	3:1 ✺
ATP Halle
19.06.25	Denis Shapovalov - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Ugo Humbert - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.25	Denis Shapovalov - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWL

Tristan Schoolkate - Denis Shapovalov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide