Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 20 March 2023, Monday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Maximilian Marterer

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.56	2.38
	1.59	2.36
	1.6	2.39
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.46	Watch
	1.55	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.74)	2.37 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
60.4%

Maximilian Marterer
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aleksandar Kovacevic's performance.

Maximilian Marterer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maximilian Marterer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aleksandar Kovacevic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximilian Marterer than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maximilian Marterer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.2%	0%	8.8%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Maximilian Marterer Predictions

Users Predictions: Aleksandar Kovacevic will win (31 of 34 users predict this - 91.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kovacevic is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Marterer is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kovacevic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Challenger
18.03.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
17.03.23	Richard Gasquet - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
16.03.23	Christopher OConnell - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
14.03.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Bjorn Fratangelo	2:0 ✺
13.03.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW
- Maximilian Marterer
ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
13.03.23	Maximilian Marterer - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.23	Alejandro Tabilo - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
07.03.23	Maximilian Marterer - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
06.03.23	Christopher Eubanks - Maximilian Marterer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLWW

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Maximilian Marterer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide