Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PHOENIX (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 17 March 2023, Friday


	Richard Gasquet		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.78	2.04
	1.79	1.88
	1.78	2.14
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.74	2.01	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.52)	1.96 ↓ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richard Gasquet
52.3%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richard Gasquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Richard Gasquet's form might have worsened.

Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aleksandar Kovacevic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richard Gasquet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aleksandar Kovacevic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.2%	0%	31.8%

Richard Gasquet - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Gasquet will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Kovacevic will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gasquet: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Gasquet is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kovacevic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gasquet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richard Gasquet
ATP Challenger
15.03.23	Richard Gasquet - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.23	Jannik Sinner - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
09.03.23	Borna Gojo - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
22.02.23	Richard Gasquet - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2 ✺
21.02.23	Richard Gasquet - Laurent Lokoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLW
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Challenger
16.03.23	Christopher OConnell - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
14.03.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Bjorn Fratangelo	2:0 ✺
13.03.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.23	Marcos Giron - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Alexandre Muller - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW

Richard Gasquet - Aleksandar Kovacevic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide