Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna (Austria) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Thiago Seyboth Wild

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.55
	2.29	1.55	Watch
	2.47	1.56
	2.38	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.46	1.51	Watch
	2.15	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.84)	1.56 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
40.1%

Thiago Seyboth Wild
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Kovacevic's form might have worsened.

Thiago Seyboth Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Seyboth Wild's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Kovacevic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Seyboth Wild, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Thiago Seyboth Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: Thiago Seyboth Wild will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 90. Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 80.

Kovacevic has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Seyboth Wild is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kovacevic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Seyboth Wild will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Seyboth Wild to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Vienna
19.10.24	Zizou Bergs - Aleksandar Kovacevic	Canceled ✺
ATP Stockholm
14.10.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Dominic Stephan Stricker	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Terence Atmane	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
22.09.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 ?LLLL
- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Vienna
19.10.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
ATP Antwerp
17.10.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
15.10.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Emilien Demanet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWW

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