Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna (Austria) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Thiago Seyboth Wild

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.25
	1.6	2.19
	1.61	2.36
	1.6	2.34
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.6	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.67)	2.25 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
58.3%

Thiago Seyboth Wild
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Thiago Seyboth Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Thiago Seyboth Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 202. Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 80.

Two players are playing changeable.

Carreno Busta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
27.09.24	Andrey Rublev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Arthur Cazaux - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alex Michelsen	Carreno-Busta P. retired ✺
22.08.24	Learner Tien - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLL?W
- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Antwerp
17.10.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
15.10.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Emilien Demanet	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWL

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