The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aleksandar Vukic 39.2%
Alexandre Muller 60.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
48.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.6%
48.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Vukic's form might have worsened.
Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexandre Muller's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Vukic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.7%
0%
81.2%
Aleksandar Vukic - Alexandre Muller Predictions
Users Predictions:
Alexandre Muller will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Recent matches Vukic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Muller is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).