Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max


	Alexandre Muller		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	2.21	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.7	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.25	1.72	Watch
	2.21	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.2)	1.69 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
43.6%

Nuno Borges
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.7%	0%	48.3%

Alexandre Muller - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%). Borges will win (votes: 14 - 48.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 33.5% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 67. Borges is ranked ATP: 36.

Muller in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Borges is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Borges could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Muller won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Nuno Borges - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57.44%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Alexandre Muller - Jakub Mensik	Canceled ✺
ATP Hong Kong
05.01.25	Kei Nishikori - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
04.01.25	Alexandre Muller - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
03.01.25	Alexandre Muller - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
01.01.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 ?WWWW
- Nuno Borges
ATP Auckland
09.01.25	Nuno Borges - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
09.01.25	Jakub Mensik - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
07.01.25	Mariano Navone - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Luciano Darderi - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
02.01.25	Nuno Borges - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Alexandre Muller - Nuno Borges	0:2
08.06.22	Nuno Borges - Alexandre Muller	0:2

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