Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Metz 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	20:40	Max Sport 1
Czech Republic	19:40	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	19:40	TV2 Play
Finland	20:40	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
Netherlands	19:40	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	18:40	Sport TV3
Sweden	19:40	TV4 Play


	Aleksandar Vukic		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
			Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.7	1.31
	3.03	1.36	Watch
			Watch
	3.46	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.03)	1.31 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
27.3%

Matteo Berrettini
72.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

Aleksandar Vukic - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Berrettini (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Matteo Berrettini will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matteo Berrettini will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 11 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vukic is ranked ATP: 87. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 63.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vukic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Berrettini is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vukic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Vukic - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.98%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Matteo Berrettini - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 69.02%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Metz
04.11.25	Corentin Moutet - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Aleksandar Vukic	Vukic A. walkover ✺
25.10.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLW?W
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Metz
03.11.25	Matteo Berrettini - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
24.10.25	Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Matteo Berrettini - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
16.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.03.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
17.03.23	Matteo Berrettini - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0

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