Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Granby, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday


	Aleksandar Vukic		August Holmgren

	1	2
			Watch
	2.00	1.72
	1.94	1.82	Watch
	1.94	1.96
	1.89	1.82	Watch
	1.76	2.03	Watch
	1.26	3.51	Watch
	1.99	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.09)	2.08 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
53.3%

August Holmgren
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aleksandar Vukic's performance.

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and August Holmgren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aleksandar Vukic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that August Holmgren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Aleksandar Vukic - August Holmgren Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vukic will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Holmgren will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vukic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vukic is ranked ATP: 113. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 192.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Vukic - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.75%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

August Holmgren - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.25%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Nicolas Arseneault	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Liam Broady	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Jenson Brooksby	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLL
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	August Holmgren - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	August Holmgren - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	August Holmgren - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	August Holmgren - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Jerome Kym - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLL

Aleksandar Vukic - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide