Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday


	August Holmgren		Tristan Schoolkate

	1	2
	1.91	1.80	Watch
	2.00	1.72	Watch
	2.05	1.73	Watch
	2.17	1.75
	2.02	1.7	Watch
	2.14	1.72	Watch
	2.02	1.69	Watch
	1.96	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.84)	1.73 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
46%

Tristan Schoolkate
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for August Holmgren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tristan Schoolkate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

August Holmgren - Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Holmgren will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Schoolkate will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schoolkate: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Holmgren is ranked ATP: 143. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 149.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

August Holmgren - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Jerome Kym - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Liam Broady - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Roman Safiullin - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	August Holmgren - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	August Holmgren - Max Basing	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLW
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.26	Nicolas Mejia - Tristan Schoolkate	3:0 ✺
24.06.26	Daniel Evans - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Johannus Monday - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.06.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Oliver Tarvet	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Paul Jubb	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLW

August Holmgren - Tristan Schoolkate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide