Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CALGARY (CANADA), HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Aleksandar Vukic		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
	1.53	2.37	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.58	2.35
	1.56	2.38
	1.6	2.39
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.58	2.32	Watch
	1.58	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.4)	2.39 ↓ (2.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
60.6%

Maks Kasnikowski
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Vukic's form might have worsened.

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maks Kasnikowski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Vukic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maks Kasnikowski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Aleksandar Vukic - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vukic will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Kasnikowski will win (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasnikowski: 71.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vukic is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kasnikowski is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Vukic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vukic will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Challenger
11.11.22	Alexis Galarneau - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
10.11.22	Charles Broom - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
08.11.22	Benjamin Lock - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
01.11.22	Adam Walton - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
31.10.22	Colin Sinclair - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
11.11.22	Maks Kasnikowski - Vasek Pospisil	2:0 ✺
10.11.22	Maks Kasnikowski - Alfredo Perez	2:0 ✺
08.11.22	Brandon Holt - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
07.11.22	Maks Kasnikowski - Kai Wehnelt	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Maks Kasnikowski - Simon Carr	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWWW

Aleksandar Vukic - Maks Kasnikowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide