Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: VIENNA (AUSTRIA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Aleksandar Vukic		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.42
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.03	1.43
	3.03	1.43
	2.75	1.44
	2.91	1.41	Watch
	2.9	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.48)	1.42 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
32.7%

Tomas Machac
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Vukic's form might have worsened.

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Aleksandar Vukic - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Vukic will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Machac will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Vukic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Machac will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Tokyo
16.10.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
05.10.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Brandon Nakashima - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW
- Tomas Machac
ATP Vienna
22.10.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Jurij Rodionov - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Jurij Rodionov - Tomas Machac	Canceled
ATP Stockholm
20.10.23	Laslo Djere - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
19.10.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WW?LW

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