Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TOKYO (JAPAN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 October 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.45	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.73
	1.49	2.79
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.43	2.83	Watch
	1.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.48)	2.72 ↑ (2.64)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
65%

Aleksandar Vukic
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Vukic will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vukic: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aliassime-Auger is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vukic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aliassime-Auger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aliassime-Auger will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Shanghai
06.10.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
24.09.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Canceled ✺
22.09.23	Gael Monfils - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Mackenzie McDonald	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LL?WL
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Shanghai
08.10.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
05.10.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Brandon Nakashima - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
20.09.23	Taro Daniel - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWL

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