Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid 3 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Aleksander Chayka		Sergio Planella Hernandez

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Aleksander Chayka
35%

Sergio Planella Hernandez
65%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksander Chayka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksander Chayka's form might have worsened.

Sergio Planella Hernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergio Planella Hernandez's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Chayka is ranked ATP: 1223. Planella Hernandez is ranked ATP: 1476.

Chayka is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Planella Hernandez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksander Chayka
ITF Tournaments
19.11.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Aleksander Chayka	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Maximilian Homberg - Aleksander Chayka	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Menelaos Efstathiou - Aleksander Chayka	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Aleksander Chayka - Semen Pankin	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Kerem Yilmaz - Aleksander Chayka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW
- Sergio Planella Hernandez
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Sergio Planella Hernandez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Sergio Planella Hernandez - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Liam Gavrielides - Sergio Planella Hernandez	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Sergio Planella Hernandez - Tomas Curras Abasolo	1:2 ✺
24.07.25	Pablo Martinez Gomez - Sergio Planella Hernandez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWLL

Aleksander Chayka - Sergio Planella Hernandez