Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Malta, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	Maximilian Homberg		Aleksander Chayka

	1	2
	1.21	3.79	Watch
	1.28	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.37)	3.59 ↑ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximilian Homberg
74.2%

Aleksander Chayka
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximilian Homberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maximilian Homberg's performance.

Aleksander Chayka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksander Chayka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximilian Homberg than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksander Chayka than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Maximilian Homberg - Aleksander Chayka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Homberg is ranked ATP: 969. Chayka is ranked ATP: 1207.

In recent matches, Homberg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chayka's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chayka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Homberg is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Homberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximilian Homberg
ITF Tournaments
16.10.25	Amaury Raynel - Maximilian Homberg	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Louis Van Herck - Maximilian Homberg	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Maximilian Homberg - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Yassine Dlimi - Maximilian Homberg	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Maximilian Homberg - Martin Van Der Meerschen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWL
- Aleksander Chayka
ITF Tournaments
22.10.25	Menelaos Efstathiou - Aleksander Chayka	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Aleksander Chayka - Semen Pankin	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Kerem Yilmaz - Aleksander Chayka	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Aleksander Chayka - Cagan Efe Tufekci	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Anmar Faleh Alhogbani - Aleksander Chayka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.11.24	Aleksander Chayka - Maximilian Homberg	0:2

Maximilian Homberg - Aleksander Chayka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide